Market Pulse
Hot CPI Hits a Stretched Tape as Oil Sits on the Volatility Switch
Hot CPI, energy-driven inflation pressure, elevated volatility, ES/NQ/RTY quarterly +1SD alerts, and crude pressing near the upper daily expected-move band.
Research Topic
Expected Moves
Market Desk
The Quiet Danger in This Rally: Volatility Is Falling While Equities Are Stretched
Jobs strength cooled recession fear, oil pressure backed down, and volatility compressed. That is exactly why the current equity extension deserves respect.
Expected Moves
Expected Move Is Not a Prediction. It Is the Market’s Volatility Budget.
Expected move is not a prediction. It is the market’s volatility budget, and serious traders use it to frame risk before price starts moving.